← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2American University-1.07+1.19vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.92-0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-0.82-1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-2.06-0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Pittsburgh-2.52-0.49vs Predicted
-
8St. John's College-1.90-3.40vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland-1.67-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.19American University-1.070.2%1st Place
-
2.98Drexel University-0.920.2%1st Place
-
2.85University of Delaware-0.820.3%1st Place
-
4.84University of Virginia-2.060.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
-
4.6St. John's College-1.900.1%1st Place
-
4.04University of Maryland-1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anika Liner | 20.8% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 22.5% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 25.1% | 23.0% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Braeton Oliver | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 24.3% | 21.6% |
| Stephen Turocy | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 20.8% | 42.3% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 19.4% |
| Nicolas Pouliquen | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.