← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Drexel University-0.92+0.45vs Predicted
-
4American University-1.07-1.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia-2.06-0.91vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-1.67-2.53vs Predicted
-
7St. John's College-2.55-2.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Pittsburgh-2.52-3.26vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-3.46-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.45Drexel University-0.920.3%1st Place
-
2.61American University-1.070.3%1st Place
-
4.09University of Virginia-2.060.1%1st Place
-
3.47University of Maryland-1.670.2%1st Place
-
4.8St. John's College-2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.74University of Pittsburgh-2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of Delaware-3.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 33.6% | 25.7% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Anika Liner | 26.7% | 28.0% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Braeton Oliver | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 7.9% |
| Nicolas Pouliquen | 15.7% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Caleb Briggs | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 25.7% | 17.4% |
| Stephen Turocy | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 22.7% | 17.3% |
| Travis Howell | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.