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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.10+1.77vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend-0.45+1.10vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.22-0.13vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.16vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.03-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Syracuse University-0.1025.1%1st Place
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3.1Penn State Behrend-0.4519.8%1st Place
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2.87Colgate University-0.2223.8%1st Place
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4.16Penn State University-1.019.8%1st Place
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3.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5517.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Rochester-2.033.3%1st Place
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6.34University of Pittsburgh-2.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 25.1% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Nill | 19.8% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Spear | 23.8% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 19.9% | 5.4% |
| Josh Elliott | 17.2% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| Will Sexter | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 39.8% | 24.2% |
| Jonah Belback | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 17.1% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.