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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.48vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.45vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.26+1.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.84-0.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-2.63vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.85-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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5.73SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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4.54Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| George Prieto | 9.6% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 21.5% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| Michael Schalka | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Wick Dudley | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| William Pilling | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 35.7% |
| Kevin Reilly | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.