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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.00+0.58vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.92+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-2.06+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.82-0.20vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-0.81vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.90-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.52-0.50vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.46-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Maryland1.000.6%1st Place
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3.9Drexel University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Virginia-2.060.0%1st Place
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3.8University of Delaware-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.19American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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5.54St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
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4.75Princeton University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 61.9% | 24.4% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 9.2% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Braeton Oliver | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 22.0% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 9.3% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Anika Liner | 7.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 19.8% |
| Stephen Turocy | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 42.8% |
| Robert Rubin | 3.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.