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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.00+0.59vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.82+0.72vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-1.90+0.55vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.46-1.18vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.92-3.12vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-2.06-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-2.52-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Maryland1.000.6%1st Place
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4.18American University-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Delaware-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.55St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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4.82Princeton University-1.460.0%1st Place
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3.88Drexel University-0.920.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Virginia-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 61.2% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 7.9% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 10.7% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 19.8% |
| Robert Rubin | 4.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 8.5% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 8.5% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Braeton Oliver | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Stephen Turocy | 1.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.