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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+0.82vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.88+1.27vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.22+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-1.11vs Predicted
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6American University-2.12-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.19-2.04vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-4.24-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-4.57-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Princeton University0.340.5%1st Place
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3.27University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.74Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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4.91American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.1St. John's College-4.240.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 50.0% | 27.9% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 13.1% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 9.8% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 17.8% | 25.4% | 23.5% | 20.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 26.2% | 31.8% | 9.2% | 1.4% |
| Laura MacMillan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 33.4% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Quinn | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 40.9% | 43.6% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 35.7% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.