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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.88+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58-0.31vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.42-1.29vs Predicted
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6American University-2.12-1.42vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-3.37-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-4.91-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-4.57-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Princeton University0.340.5%1st Place
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3.08University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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3.71Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.58American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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5.92St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Delaware-4.910.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 52.8% | 26.9% | 14.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 14.1% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 19.8% | 27.5% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 7.5% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 28.5% | 22.9% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Juros | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 33.3% | 21.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 16.1% | 41.4% | 24.7% | 7.3% |
| Laurel Bollinger | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 9.7% | 27.1% | 57.4% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 15.1% | 42.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.