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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+0.83vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.22+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.88+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.19-0.99vs Predicted
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7American University-2.12-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-4.57-0.65vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-4.24-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Princeton University0.340.5%1st Place
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3.74Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Virginia-0.880.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.89American University-2.120.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
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7.06St. John's College-4.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 49.1% | 28.6% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 9.6% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick McBride | 14.2% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 18.0% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 18.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 23.8% | 34.1% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Juros | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 31.5% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 28.7% | 59.9% |
| Katherine Quinn | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 47.9% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.