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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+3.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.36vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.86vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.84-2.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.85-1.34vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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4.63Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.66Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.85SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 18.7% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Reilly | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% |
| George Prieto | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.7% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Wick Dudley | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| William Pilling | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 31.8% |
| Michael Schalka | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 29.1% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.