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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.10+1.43vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+0.90vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.80+0.30vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.54+0.36vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.01-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Syracuse University-0.1031.9%1st Place
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2.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5522.2%1st Place
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3.3Penn State Behrend-0.8017.3%1st Place
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4.36Colgate University-1.548.6%1st Place
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3.69Penn State University-1.0114.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Rochester-2.034.3%1st Place
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6.19University of Pittsburgh-2.921.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 31.9% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Josh Elliott | 22.2% | 22.8% | 21.0% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Corey Smith | 17.3% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Stew Adams | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| Nathan Mascia | 14.0% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 3.0% |
| Will Sexter | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 30.6% | 22.1% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 18.5% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.