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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware0.06+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.88+0.65vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.42+0.31vs Predicted
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5American University-2.12-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.33-1.49vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-3.37-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-4.57-0.82vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-3.97-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69University of Delaware0.060.5%1st Place
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2.65University of Virginia-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.31Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.27American University-2.120.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Maryland-2.330.1%1st Place
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5.87St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
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6.52Princeton University-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Harrington | 54.6% | 28.2% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 19.8% | 31.3% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 11.9% | 18.2% | 27.2% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Juros | 5.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 23.8% | 24.9% | 15.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Isaac Butz | 5.0% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 16.6% | 28.3% | 26.5% | 12.4% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 22.2% | 58.9% |
| John Wallar | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 20.3% | 36.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.