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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware0.06+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.88+0.66vs Predicted
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3American University-2.12+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.33+0.52vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.42-2.68vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-3.37-1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-4.57-0.80vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-3.97-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Delaware0.060.5%1st Place
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2.66University of Virginia-0.880.2%1st Place
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4.22American University-2.120.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Maryland-2.330.1%1st Place
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3.32Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
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5.84St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
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6.53Princeton University-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Harrington | 54.8% | 26.2% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick McBride | 19.5% | 31.0% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 6.0% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 24.4% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Isaac Butz | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 25.5% | 19.0% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Tobias Green | 11.5% | 18.6% | 26.3% | 22.0% | 15.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 29.0% | 25.8% | 12.4% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 21.9% | 59.0% |
| John Wallar | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 7.9% | 20.4% | 36.2% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.