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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.45+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-2.19+2.10vs Predicted
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3American University-2.12+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.88-1.69vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.22-3.25vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-3.97-0.66vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-4.24-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-4.57-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of Maryland-1.450.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Delaware-2.190.1%1st Place
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3.95American University-2.120.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Virginia-0.880.3%1st Place
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2.75Drexel University-1.220.2%1st Place
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6.34Princeton University-3.970.0%1st Place
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6.66St. John's College-4.240.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Garvey | 20.2% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 28.0% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Juros | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 24.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick McBride | 35.0% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 23.5% | 24.8% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Wallar | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 29.8% | 30.1% | 22.0% |
| Katherine Quinn | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 20.5% | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 16.7% | 29.2% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.