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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.88+1.06vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.42+0.75vs Predicted
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3American University-2.12+0.60vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-3.97+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-4.57+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.45-4.25vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-3.37-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-4.91-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Virginia-0.880.4%1st Place
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2.75Drexel University-1.420.2%1st Place
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3.6American University-2.120.1%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-3.970.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Pittsburgh-4.570.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Maryland-1.450.2%1st Place
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5.25St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Delaware-4.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McBride | 40.9% | 27.2% | 20.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 21.3% | 23.8% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 12.1% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 29.6% | 18.8% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Wallar | 0.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 18.9% | 28.3% | 23.2% | 16.0% |
| Bootsie Glasser | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 18.7% | 31.7% | 33.1% |
| Eric Garvey | 20.4% | 25.6% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 8.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyson Hammer | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 27.6% | 27.5% | 15.9% | 4.5% |
| Laurel Bollinger | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 14.6% | 27.0% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.