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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+8.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+3.61vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36+3.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+0.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+3.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.13+0.88vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.20+6.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-3.42vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University2.54-3.50vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.03-2.29vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.11-4.11vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.72-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-2.35vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.27-3.77vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-5.84vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.61Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.36Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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15.2Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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6.58Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.5North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.89Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.23University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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16.55Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 7.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Riley Read | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Cook | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 32.8% | 22.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 16.1% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.