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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+5.62vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+5.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.07+5.08vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+1.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.07vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.11-0.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.36-2.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.13-2.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.72-2.62vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-2.35vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.27-3.79vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.20-1.70vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.58North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.38Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.35Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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9.25Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.21University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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15.3Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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16.54Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lars Osell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Riley Read | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Garrett Cook | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 31.3% | 25.6% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 19.0% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.