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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+2.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.36+4.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+1.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.07+3.19vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82-0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+2.48vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.11+2.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.27+1.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.72-1.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-2.06vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.20+1.02vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.13-6.11vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University2.54-8.54vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.03-7.57vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.03Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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15.02Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.46North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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16.54Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Lars Osell | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| Riley Read | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 18.8% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.