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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.85+3.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+1.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.84-0.49vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-2.89vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.69-1.12vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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5.86SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 23.0% | 28.1% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 21.0% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Wick Dudley | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| William Pilling | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 34.3% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.