Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Homa 24.1% 20.7% 16.4% 13.6% 10.5% 6.7% 4.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Williams 8.5% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 12.3% 11.0% 12.8% 12.4% 7.8% 3.1%
Andrew Liu 22.0% 20.0% 17.1% 15.4% 10.4% 7.0% 5.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Jack O'Connor 7.1% 8.8% 9.2% 11.2% 11.9% 10.7% 13.9% 13.2% 10.7% 3.4%
Gavin Holmes 6.9% 7.1% 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 13.5% 12.8% 14.4% 13.7% 4.2%
Simon Peroulas 4.2% 3.6% 5.9% 5.7% 7.7% 10.2% 11.2% 15.0% 24.6% 11.9%
Carly Irwin 5.5% 7.4% 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 12.3% 11.9% 15.8% 16.1% 6.5%
Ryan Dodge 8.0% 9.2% 10.6% 11.2% 11.0% 12.7% 14.1% 11.8% 9.1% 2.2%
Rachel Ward 12.5% 12.2% 13.7% 11.8% 14.3% 12.4% 9.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.0%
Emmalyn Holmquist 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.9% 11.7% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.