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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+7.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+3.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+2.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27+6.04vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+2.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+2.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+0.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-4.56vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.54-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.03-5.00vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.13-6.17vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.11-6.98vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-0.48vs Predicted
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18Clemson University-0.58-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.32Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.04University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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10.77Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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9.02Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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16.52Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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16.3Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 27.8% | 49.5% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 32.3% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.