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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+6.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+1.83vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11+4.68vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.13+3.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.72+4.12vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+1.77vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.54-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.27+1.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-4.76vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-1.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.12-7.77vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-1.97vs Predicted
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15Clemson University-0.58+0.46vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-0.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.81-10.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.68Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.93North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.44University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.46Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.66Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.23Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Riley Read | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 14.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 31.5% | 43.8% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 29.5% | 48.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.