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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.75vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.30+0.90vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44-0.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-0.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-0.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.26-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.69-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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3.9Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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3.5Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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6.81Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.93SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wick Dudley | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Crane | 14.7% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Gowell | 19.6% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| George Prieto | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 28.7% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
| William Pilling | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.