Race 2A

buckeye-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Homa 22.8% 22.8% 18.1% 12.6% 10.5% 6.6% 4.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Dodge 7.8% 7.1% 10.2% 10.7% 12.8% 13.7% 12.3% 13.0% 9.7% 2.6%
Andrew Liu 22.3% 20.0% 17.4% 14.0% 11.8% 6.4% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Gavin Holmes 7.0% 6.7% 8.8% 8.8% 10.3% 14.3% 12.1% 13.9% 13.5% 4.5%
Jack O'Connor 7.5% 8.3% 9.7% 11.7% 11.5% 13.1% 12.7% 12.2% 10.5% 2.8%
Carly Irwin 6.0% 7.1% 6.5% 7.6% 9.2% 11.3% 14.4% 14.1% 17.1% 6.6%
Rachel Ward 12.1% 12.7% 13.9% 13.6% 11.7% 10.2% 11.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.3%
Emily Williams 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 11.5% 11.5% 12.8% 13.5% 12.0% 8.6% 2.5%
Simon Peroulas 4.3% 4.7% 5.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 16.7% 23.3% 10.8%
Emmalyn Holmquist 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 5.5% 11.2% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.