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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.07+7.57vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+6.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.13+5.53vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+2.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+0.97vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.72+4.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-2.17vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University2.54-0.99vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-2.69vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.20+4.48vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-5.68vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.27-1.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-3.29vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60+0.71vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-3.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.36-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.55Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.01North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.31Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.48Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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5.32Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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15.71Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.88Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Cook | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 33.9% | 23.5% |
| Jack Egan | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Lars Osell | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 62.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.