← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.45+6.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.73+7.92vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.78+6.69vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.22+3.76vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University2.01+3.55vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.37+5.09vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.72+6.19vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.46-1.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.39vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+2.38vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.45-3.89vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.32-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.38-5.82vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.62-7.82vs Predicted
-
15Yale University3.12-10.26vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.59-2.33vs Predicted
-
17Clemson University1.34-5.78vs Predicted
-
18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.37-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.21Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.92University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.69Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
7.76Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
8.55North Carolina State University2.010.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.19Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.88Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
5.61University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.11Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.18Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
4.74Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
13.67Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
-
11.22Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
-
17.13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| William Wiegand | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 5.9% |
| Walter Henry | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 7.0% |
| William Turner | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.