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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.73+8.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+8.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.18vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.30vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+1.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46-2.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-5.07vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+2.33vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-5.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-1.92vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.34-3.09vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.59-1.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-3.78vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.37+0.24vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.45-11.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.62North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.89Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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13.33Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.91Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.69Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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17.24Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.85Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 22.1% | 6.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| William Turner | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Camden Ward | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 24.3% | 6.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 79.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.