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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.78+8.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+5.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+3.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+0.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+2.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+0.98vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+6.22vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.82vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.34+2.17vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.59+3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.73-1.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-0.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-6.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.32-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.83-9.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-3.81vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.37+0.26vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University2.01-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.73Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.8Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.22Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.17Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.79Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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17.26Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.45North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Niles | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 5.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Turner | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Camden Ward | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 27.3% | 7.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Walter Henry | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 2.3% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 79.6% |
| Adam Larson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.