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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.04vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+5.15vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.46vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.78+5.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.25vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.01+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+4.04vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-2.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.62-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+0.34vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.34-0.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72+0.06vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.45-7.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.73-5.37vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.37-4.87vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.59-3.28vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.37-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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4.75Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.66North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.46Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.06Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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13.72Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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17.13Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.7% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| William Turner | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| William Wiegand | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 5.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Camden Ward | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 25.6% | 7.1% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 8.3% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.