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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.43+1.59vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-0.46+1.60vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.46-0.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.27+1.05vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-1.37-1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.17-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Columbia University0.4328.4%1st Place
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3.6Unknown School-0.4614.1%1st Place
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2.62SUNY Maritime College-0.0228.7%1st Place
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3.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.4613.9%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Military Academy-2.271.8%1st Place
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4.93Webb Institute-1.375.5%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.177.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 28.4% | 25.9% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrice Masterson | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 4.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 28.7% | 25.3% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Rhoads | 13.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 3.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 59.9% |
| Rowan Whitmeyer | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 18.7% |
| Alden Hughes | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 25.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.