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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+2.51vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.00+6.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+1.91vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.61+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.05vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.36vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.00-3.51vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.84-4.09vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29-1.50vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.64-1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Texas1.82-2.59vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.37-7.83vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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5.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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6.67Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.49College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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5.91Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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10.5Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.93Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Naval Academy3.370.1%1st Place
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5.91Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 25.0% | 20.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 40.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 23.2% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Sabatt | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.