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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gavin Holmes 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 14.1% 13.4% 13.4% 5.1%
Carly Irwin 5.4% 6.6% 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 14.2% 15.2% 16.2% 6.6%
Andrew Liu 22.7% 20.2% 17.0% 14.8% 10.8% 7.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Homa 25.1% 19.8% 16.2% 13.5% 11.7% 6.9% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Rachel Ward 11.5% 11.6% 13.9% 13.1% 13.3% 12.2% 11.3% 6.7% 5.1% 1.4%
Emily Williams 9.0% 9.6% 9.5% 11.5% 13.0% 12.6% 11.9% 11.7% 9.1% 2.1%
Ryan Dodge 8.2% 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.5% 12.2% 9.2% 3.0%
Jack O'Connor 7.0% 8.9% 10.4% 9.6% 10.7% 13.0% 12.8% 14.1% 10.6% 2.9%
Simon Peroulas 3.6% 5.5% 5.2% 7.4% 6.3% 10.2% 10.8% 15.4% 23.6% 12.0%
Emmalyn Holmquist 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 7.5% 11.7% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.