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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.57+4.81vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.85+4.17vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University0.66+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.02-0.40vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.09-0.77vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.44-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.47vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.03-2.16vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Purdue University-0.576.7%1st Place
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6.17Grand Valley State University-0.855.4%1st Place
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3.25Case Western Reserve University0.6622.7%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan0.6825.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Michigan0.0211.5%1st Place
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5.23Ohio State University0.099.0%1st Place
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5.36Michigan State University-0.448.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Notre Dame-0.437.0%1st Place
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6.84Miami University-1.033.6%1st Place
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9.02Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gavin Holmes | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 5.1% |
Carly Irwin | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 6.6% |
Andrew Liu | 22.7% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Jack Homa | 25.1% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Rachel Ward | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Emily Williams | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
Ryan Dodge | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
Jack O'Connor | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
Simon Peroulas | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 12.0% |
Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.