Race 11A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Crane 18.4% 18.6% 16.8% 15.2% 11.9% 8.5% 6.3% 3.7% 0.6%
Kevin Reilly 5.0% 6.5% 8.5% 10.3% 12.7% 14.4% 15.1% 16.3% 11.2%
Matthew Gowell 18.6% 17.3% 17.0% 14.4% 11.8% 10.5% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Wick Dudley 13.6% 14.0% 14.3% 16.4% 13.0% 11.1% 9.2% 5.8% 2.6%
Scott Hoffmann 18.2% 18.2% 15.3% 11.8% 12.6% 9.2% 7.8% 5.1% 1.8%
Scott Lubliner 5.4% 6.1% 7.7% 8.3% 9.9% 14.3% 16.4% 18.5% 13.4%
William Pilling 3.8% 2.5% 3.3% 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 13.4% 20.6% 36.6%
John O'Riordan 4.8% 3.9% 3.7% 6.1% 7.3% 10.6% 13.7% 19.9% 30.0%
George Prieto 12.2% 12.9% 13.4% 12.2% 14.2% 13.5% 11.6% 7.2% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.