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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+4.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+4.35vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.59+8.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.73+3.99vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.34+4.25vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01+1.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37+1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.74vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-5.16vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-7.03vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06-2.98vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.37+0.37vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.42Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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10.25Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.1North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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15.37Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Camden Ward | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 31.0% | 9.2% |
| Zachary Champney | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| William Turner | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 1.3% |
| Adam Larson | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 1.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 2.9% |
| Brandon Foster | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 82.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.