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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.43+3.34vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.02+1.55vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57+1.77vs Predicted
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5Case Western Reserve University0.66-1.68vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.31vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-1.75vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.03-1.20vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-0.44-3.58vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Michigan0.6822.6%1st Place
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5.34University of Notre Dame-0.439.4%1st Place
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4.55University of Michigan0.0212.9%1st Place
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5.77Purdue University-0.576.9%1st Place
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3.32Case Western Reserve University0.6621.1%1st Place
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6.31Grand Valley State University-0.854.6%1st Place
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5.25Ohio State University0.098.6%1st Place
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6.8Miami University-1.034.5%1st Place
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5.42Michigan State University-0.448.2%1st Place
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8.96Saint Mary's College-2.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Homa | 22.6% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Jack O'Connor | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
Rachel Ward | 12.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Gavin Holmes | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 5.3% |
Andrew Liu | 21.1% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Carly Irwin | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 6.1% |
Emily Williams | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
Simon Peroulas | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 11.5% |
Ryan Dodge | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.