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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+3.23vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.30+2.07vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.60vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44-0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-2.52vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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4.07Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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3.52Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.71Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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5.96SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wick Dudley | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 18.9% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| George Prieto | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| William Pilling | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 36.2% |
| Kevin Reilly | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.