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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Homa 22.6% 20.4% 17.8% 13.2% 10.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack O'Connor 9.4% 9.5% 8.3% 10.5% 11.6% 12.7% 13.3% 12.2% 9.8% 2.6%
Rachel Ward 12.9% 11.3% 13.0% 13.3% 13.8% 11.8% 10.3% 8.0% 4.7% 0.9%
Gavin Holmes 6.9% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 11.7% 11.1% 13.4% 13.6% 12.2% 5.3%
Andrew Liu 21.1% 21.9% 16.1% 13.7% 11.5% 8.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Carly Irwin 4.6% 5.9% 8.0% 8.9% 7.3% 10.9% 13.2% 16.0% 19.1% 6.1%
Emily Williams 8.6% 9.4% 10.9% 11.2% 12.4% 11.5% 13.0% 11.5% 9.1% 2.4%
Simon Peroulas 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 7.7% 10.3% 11.6% 15.3% 22.9% 11.5%
Ryan Dodge 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 11.0% 11.2% 12.9% 11.2% 13.4% 9.8% 3.4%
Emmalyn Holmquist 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 5.5% 11.2% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.