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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-1.11+3.66vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.85+2.36vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-3.16+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.94-1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.99-2.94vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.76vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.02-1.08vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.67-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.36Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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7.05Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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2.06University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
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3.24Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.56Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etain McKinney | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 27.9% | 20.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.8% | 5.7% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 26.4% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 53.4% |
| Adam McAvoy | 33.9% | 33.3% | 21.1% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 39.6% | 30.0% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.0% | 19.3% | 27.9% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Porras | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 28.8% | 27.0% | 14.1% |
| Hugo Day | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 34.8% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.