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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.21vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-2.02+3.85vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.99-0.90vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.94-2.85vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.11-1.37vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-3.16+0.12vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.67-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.85Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
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4.36Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.15University of Wisconsin0.940.4%1st Place
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4.63Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.12Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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6.59Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donny Marwin | 13.0% | 17.5% | 29.3% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Porras | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 29.4% | 26.7% | 12.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 37.3% | 31.5% | 19.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Adam McAvoy | 36.3% | 30.5% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 27.2% | 19.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 57.4% |
| Hugo Day | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 35.9% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.