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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.99+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.94+0.16vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+1.63vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.85+0.32vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.16+2.14vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05-2.74vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.67-0.35vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.02-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
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2.16University of Wisconsin0.940.3%1st Place
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4.63Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.32Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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7.14Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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3.26Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.65Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
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5.79Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 38.8% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam McAvoy | 34.5% | 32.7% | 19.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.7% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 20.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 25.8% | 16.3% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 11.5% | 24.6% | 54.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.2% | 17.1% | 27.8% | 24.8% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugo Day | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 34.8% | 32.8% |
| Austin Porras | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 16.8% | 31.6% | 24.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.