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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.94+1.08vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.11+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.99-0.94vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.74vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.16+2.15vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.02-0.16vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.85-2.66vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.67-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of Wisconsin0.940.4%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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2.06University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
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3.26Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.15Marquette University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.84Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
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4.34Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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6.57Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam McAvoy | 37.2% | 32.9% | 18.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 27.4% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 1.7% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 37.7% | 32.3% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.5% | 16.5% | 27.7% | 24.1% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 23.2% | 55.8% |
| Austin Porras | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 28.1% | 26.0% | 11.7% |
| Lucia Marquez | 5.7% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Hugo Day | 0.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 33.4% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.