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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+2.58vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+1.73vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.69+2.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99-0.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.85+0.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-1.44vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.30-4.11vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Georgetown University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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4.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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3.89Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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5.98SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 20.1% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Crane | 15.3% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Wick Dudley | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| William Pilling | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 33.7% |
| George Prieto | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| John O'Riordan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 22.3% | 28.5% |
| Kevin Reilly | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.7% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.