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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.99+1.14vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.51-0.20vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.11+1.23vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.22-1.13vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.85-1.19vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.67+0.14vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.02-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
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3.6Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
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5.23Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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3.87Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.81Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
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7.14Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
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6.39Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 42.0% | 26.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Donny Marwin | 12.7% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| George Lockwood | 22.4% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 7.3% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 9.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 4.0% |
| Hugo Day | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 61.4% |
| Austin Porras | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 34.9% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.