← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Lake Forest College-0.85+3.77vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-1.11+3.27vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.51-1.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.99-2.78vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-0.22-2.19vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-2.67+0.17vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-2.02-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77Lake Forest College-0.850.1%1st Place
-
5.27Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
-
3.57Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
-
2.81University of Wisconsin0.510.2%1st Place
-
2.22University of Wisconsin0.990.4%1st Place
-
3.81Marquette University-0.220.1%1st Place
-
7.17Purdue University-2.670.0%1st Place
-
6.39Northwestern University-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Marquez | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 23.5% | 14.7% | 2.9% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 25.2% | 20.9% | 7.4% |
| Donny Marwin | 14.5% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| George Lockwood | 22.7% | 24.8% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 39.0% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Lopez | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Hugo Day | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 62.6% |
| Austin Porras | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 36.0% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.