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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.57+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+0.30vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.90+1.10vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14+0.50vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.67+0.29vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.94-0.32vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-1.36-2.14vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.17-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of Wisconsin0.570.4%1st Place
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2.3University of Wisconsin0.430.3%1st Place
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4.1Michigan Technological University-0.900.1%1st Place
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4.5Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.29Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.68Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.86Lake Forest College-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.18Marquette University-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 40.0% | 29.0% | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 31.6% | 30.9% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Blacketor | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| James Miller | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 22.9% | 7.8% |
| Teague McGinn | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 26.1% | 15.8% |
| Arthur Brown | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 5.6% |
| Gwen Busch | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.