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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.57+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+0.30vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.90+1.09vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-1.67+1.31vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-1.36-0.19vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.14-1.56vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.94-1.23vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-3.17-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Wisconsin0.570.4%1st Place
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2.3University of Wisconsin0.430.3%1st Place
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4.09Michigan Technological University-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.31Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
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4.81Lake Forest College-1.360.1%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.77Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.18Marquette University-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 39.8% | 29.4% | 18.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 31.9% | 31.1% | 20.2% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Blacketor | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| James Miller | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 9.5% |
| Arthur Brown | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 4.9% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Teague McGinn | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 27.8% | 16.3% |
| Gwen Busch | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.