← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.57+1.11vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin0.43+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-0.90+1.19vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-2.42+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Lake Forest College-1.36-0.07vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.14-1.43vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-1.94-1.06vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-1.67-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11University of Wisconsin0.570.4%1st Place
-
2.31University of Wisconsin0.430.3%1st Place
-
4.19Michigan Technological University-0.900.1%1st Place
-
6.56Marquette University-2.420.0%1st Place
-
4.93Lake Forest College-1.360.0%1st Place
-
4.57Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
-
5.94Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
-
5.39Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 39.6% | 29.7% | 18.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 32.5% | 30.2% | 19.2% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Blacketor | 9.1% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Sara Boutelle | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 44.7% |
| Arthur Brown | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 7.4% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.7% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% |
| Teague McGinn | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 25.1% |
| James Miller | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 19.5% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.