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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.57+1.12vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-1.36+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43-0.68vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.14+0.61vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.67+0.46vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.90-1.83vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.42-0.41vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.94-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Wisconsin0.570.4%1st Place
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4.93Lake Forest College-1.360.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Wisconsin0.430.3%1st Place
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4.61Northwestern University-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.46Purdue University-1.670.0%1st Place
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4.17Michigan Technological University-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.59Marquette University-2.420.0%1st Place
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5.81Purdue University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Davis | 39.1% | 29.6% | 17.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Brown | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 7.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 31.5% | 31.4% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| James Miller | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 14.7% |
| William Blacketor | 9.0% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Sara Boutelle | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 46.8% |
| Teague McGinn | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.