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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of South Florida0.66+2.74vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+1.11vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+0.25vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.39-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.04-3.10vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-5.24vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.25-3.40vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.98-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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4.72Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.11University of South Florida0.500.1%1st Place
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5.25Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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5.22Embry-Riddle University0.390.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Miami1.040.2%1st Place
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2.76Eckerd College1.740.3%1st Place
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5.6Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.7Florida State University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hella Kornatzki | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Robert Newland | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Kevin Martin | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 16.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 31.0% | 23.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Parker | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
| Griffin Pollis | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.