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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+3.54vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.04+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.66+0.64vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-2.32vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.39-0.79vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.98-0.25vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.25-3.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.50-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.53Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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2.68Eckerd College1.740.3%1st Place
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5.21Embry-Riddle University0.390.1%1st Place
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7.75Florida State University-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.59Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida0.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 8.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 13.1% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 34.4% | 23.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martin | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Griffin Pollis | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 58.5% |
| Lucien Parker | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 11.3% |
| Robert Newland | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.