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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.44+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.02+1.61vs Predicted
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4Case Western Reserve University0.66-0.70vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.57-0.13vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.03-0.22vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.43-3.47vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Michigan State University-0.448.8%1st Place
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3.15University of Michigan0.6824.9%1st Place
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4.61University of Michigan0.0211.6%1st Place
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3.3Case Western Reserve University0.6622.4%1st Place
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5.27Ohio State University0.098.2%1st Place
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5.87Purdue University-0.576.4%1st Place
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6.78Miami University-1.034.3%1st Place
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6.21Grand Valley State University-0.854.9%1st Place
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5.53University of Notre Dame-0.437.5%1st Place
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8.98Saint Mary's College-2.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Dodge | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
Jack Homa | 24.9% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Rachel Ward | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Andrew Liu | 22.4% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Emily Williams | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
Gavin Holmes | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 4.7% |
Simon Peroulas | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 11.9% |
Carly Irwin | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 6.8% |
Jack O'Connor | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.