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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.87vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.44+1.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+0.18vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.85-0.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-2.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.26-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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3.78Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.1%1st Place
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3.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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6.79Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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5.95SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.1% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Gowell | 13.4% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| George Prieto | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Wick Dudley | 13.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 22.1% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| William Pilling | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 34.3% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 30.2% |
| Kevin Reilly | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.4% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.