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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.50+4.31vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.37+3.75vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University0.39+2.54vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74-2.00vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.25-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27-5.70vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.66-4.02vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.98-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of South Florida0.500.1%1st Place
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5.75Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.54Embry-Riddle University0.390.1%1st Place
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4.63Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.0Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University0.250.0%1st Place
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2.3University of Miami2.270.4%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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7.76Florida State University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Newland | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 9.4% |
| Kevin Martin | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 24.8% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Parker | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 10.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 35.6% | 29.0% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 8.3% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Griffin Pollis | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.