← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Embry-Riddle University0.39+4.52vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.74+1.17vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.25+1.83vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida0.66-0.07vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.37-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-0.98+0.78vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.20vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.50-3.71vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.27-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.52Embry-Riddle University0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.17Eckerd College1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.83Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
-
4.93University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.41Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
7.78Florida State University-0.980.0%1st Place
-
4.8Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
5.29University of South Florida0.500.1%1st Place
-
2.27University of Miami2.270.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 19.0% | 23.4% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucien Parker | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 9.7% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 5.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 8.8% |
| Griffin Pollis | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 58.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Robert Newland | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 6.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 39.7% | 26.4% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.