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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Miami2.270.00vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.44vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-0.96+3.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.25+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.66-1.60vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.75-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.50-3.18vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-3.94vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-0.98-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Miami2.270.5%1st Place
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4.44Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.38Embry-Riddle University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
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4.4University of South Florida0.660.1%1st Place
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4.31Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
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4.82University of South Florida0.500.1%1st Place
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5.06Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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7.38Florida State University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 46.0% | 27.5% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Tanner Cummings | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 22.8% | 41.3% |
| Lucien Parker | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 10.2% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Robinson | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Newland | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 4.1% |
| Griffin Pollis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 26.0% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.