← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University-0.23+4.43vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.77+0.62vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.54-0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami-0.32+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.12-3.19vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College0.07-2.21vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.80vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-0.69-2.68vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University-1.32-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Florida State University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.62University of South Florida0.770.2%1st Place
-
3.91University of South Florida0.540.1%1st Place
-
5.54University of Miami-0.320.1%1st Place
-
2.81Eckerd College1.120.3%1st Place
-
4.79Rollins College0.070.1%1st Place
-
5.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
-
6.32Embry-Riddle University-0.690.1%1st Place
-
7.38Jacksonville University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kaufman | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 15.2% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Brilan Christopher | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Schuringa | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 31.1% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 5.9% |
| Collin Lee | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 21.0% |
| Joseph Bryan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.