Race 15A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Scott Hoffmann 17.0% 15.9% 14.5% 15.1% 12.9% 10.0% 8.7% 4.4% 1.5%
Kelly Crane 15.5% 18.9% 16.3% 14.6% 12.6% 8.9% 8.6% 3.3% 1.3%
Matthew Gowell 19.9% 16.6% 17.2% 12.2% 12.0% 10.8% 7.7% 2.8% 0.8%
Wick Dudley 14.7% 13.6% 13.3% 15.5% 13.6% 11.9% 8.8% 6.5% 2.1%
Kevin Reilly 6.8% 9.3% 11.4% 10.4% 10.3% 12.8% 13.4% 14.4% 11.2%
George Prieto 12.2% 11.7% 13.5% 13.0% 14.9% 13.7% 11.0% 6.9% 3.1%
John O'Riordan 4.5% 3.6% 3.0% 6.6% 7.5% 10.0% 13.1% 23.1% 28.6%
William Pilling 3.5% 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 6.6% 8.4% 13.0% 19.2% 37.2%
Scott Lubliner 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.6% 13.5% 15.7% 19.4% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.