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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.17+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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3Case Western Reserve University-0.48+1.83vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.64-1.05vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.570.00vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.34-1.41vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.91-1.30vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.73+0.54vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.22-1.17vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.80-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33University of Michigan-0.1711.5%1st Place
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2.59University of Michigan0.8531.6%1st Place
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4.83Case Western Reserve University-0.487.8%1st Place
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2.95Ohio State University0.6423.9%1st Place
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5.0Purdue University-0.577.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Notre Dame-0.3410.2%1st Place
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5.7Grand Valley State University-0.914.7%1st Place
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8.54Saint Mary's College-2.730.9%1st Place
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7.83Miami University-2.221.5%1st Place
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8.63Michigan State University-2.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John McCalmont | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Ben Visco | 31.6% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jordi Malaret | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Emma Hershey | 23.9% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Dylan Mullan | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Andrew Molinsky | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Reed Rossell | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
Charlotte McIlnay | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 15.0% | 29.0% | 38.0% |
Elizabeth Bittner | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 25.7% | 27.1% | 18.4% |
AUSTIN SJAARDA | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 13.9% | 28.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.