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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.36vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+1.59vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79-0.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.66+0.23vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.60+0.98vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61-1.70vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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3.59Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.59Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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4.23Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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5.98Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.3Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.95Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 35.0% | 26.8% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Everett Nash | 27.5% | 27.0% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 8.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 56.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.3% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 29.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.