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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+1.04vs Predicted
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2Williams College-0.60+3.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.66+0.57vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79-1.79vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.61-1.22vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
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5.05Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.57Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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2.21Northeastern University1.790.3%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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4.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 41.4% | 29.3% | 17.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 54.7% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 10.2% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 27.0% | 20.5% | 8.0% |
| Everett Nash | 32.5% | 31.9% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 9.0% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 23.9% | 23.0% | 12.5% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 4.7% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 31.1% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.